银河期货花生日报-20251211
Yin He Qi Huo·2025-12-11 09:28

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - Short - term peanut prices are relatively stable with supply increasing and downstream demand weak. Peanut futures will remain in high - level oscillations, and Peanut 01 has room to decline. [3][7] - Peanut oil and peanut meal prices are stable, and oil mills' theoretical profit from pressing is good. [5][7] Group 3: Summary by Directory First Part: Data - Futures Disk: PK604 closed at 8030, up 18 (0.22%), with a trading volume of 70,538 (up 4.79%) and an open interest of 29,799 (up 6.23%); PK510 closed at 8220, down 2 (-0.02%), with a trading volume of 101 (up 53.03%) and an open interest of 805 (up 5.23%); PK601 closed at 8088, up 18 (0.22%), with a trading volume of 17,941 (down 21.37%) and an open interest of 52,878 (down 7.99%) [1] - Spot and Basis: Spot prices in Henan Nanyang were 7800, Shandong Jining and Linyi were 8200. Rizeshao peanut meal was 3250, Rizeshao soybean meal was 3030 (up 20), peanut oil was 14380, and Rizeshao first - grade soybean oil was 8440. Imported Sudanese peanuts were 8600, and Senegalese peanuts were 7600 [1] - Spreads: PK01 - PK04 spread was 58 (unchanged), PK04 - PK10 spread was - 190 (up 20), PK10 - PK01 spread was 132 (down 20) [1] Second Part: Market Analysis - Peanut prices in Henan are weak, while those in the Northeast are stable. Imported peanut prices are stable. It is expected that short - term peanut spot prices will be relatively stable. Some peanut oil mills have raised their purchase prices, and peanut oil and soybean oil prices are stable. Rizeshao soybean meal prices have increased, and short - term peanut meal is strong [3][5] Third Part: Trading Strategies - Single - side: Peanuts 01 and 05 are in high - level oscillations. Short sell Peanut 01 at high prices [8] - Monthly Spread: Conduct reverse arbitrage on the 1 - 5 spread at high prices [9] - Options: Sell pk603 - P - 8200 at high prices [10] Fourth Part: Related Attachments - The report provides charts of Shandong peanut spot prices, peanut oil mill pressing profits, peanut oil prices, peanut spot and continuous contract basis, peanut 10 - 1 contract spreads, and peanut 1 - 4 contract spreads [12][18][21]