GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-12-11 02:54Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive long-term outlook for the insurance industry, suggesting a "Buy" rating for companies like China Ping An, China Life, and China Pacific Insurance [3][37]. Core Insights - The insurance industry has shown significant phase-specific excess returns but has underperformed the broader market for the year. The A-share market has rebounded significantly, with the overall A index up by 25.76% and the CSI 300 by 17.46% as of December 8, 2025. The insurance industry index increased by 18.17%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.71 percentage points but lagging behind the overall A index by 7.59 percentage points [8][10]. - Individual stock performance within the insurance sector has varied widely, with New China Life leading with a 40.73% increase, followed by Ping An at 25.93%, and others showing lower gains [10][19]. - The differences in stock performance are attributed to three main factors: investment and performance, liability side growth, and differences in index component weight and actual trading volume [13][24]. Summary by Sections Investment and Performance - The total investment return rates for listed insurance companies have significantly improved, with New China Life showing the most notable increase at 8.6% as of Q2 2025. Other companies like China Life and China Pacific reported returns of 6.4% and 5.2%, respectively [19][21]. - The insurance sector's total investment balance reached 36.12 trillion yuan, with stocks and funds accounting for 15.5% of this balance, marking a record high [14][16]. Liability Side - New single premium growth has been robust, particularly for New China Life, which reported a 55.2% year-on-year increase in new single premiums. Other companies like China Pacific and China Life also showed positive growth, albeit at lower rates [24][27]. - The adjustment of product pricing rates has positively impacted the new business value (NBV), with New China Life's NBV increasing by 50.8% year-on-year [24][28]. Index Component Weight and Trading Volume - The weight of the five major insurance companies in the CSI 300 index is concentrated, with Ping An holding the largest share at 2.59%. The actual trading volume of shares varies significantly among these companies, affecting their stock price elasticity [33][36]. - The actual trading market capitalization for these companies as of December 8, 2025, shows Ping An at 568.7 billion yuan, while New China Life and China Life have lower trading volumes of 47.7 billion yuan and 30.7 billion yuan, respectively [36][39].