2026年计算机行业年度策略:从“+AI”到“AI+”,AI巨轮破浪前行
Western Securities·2025-12-12 09:22

Core Conclusions - The report highlights significant breakthroughs in domestic AI large models, particularly with DeepSeek, which led to a notable independent rally in the computer industry in early 2025, outperforming the market [5][12] - The computer sector experienced a rapid recovery in revenue growth and profit margins during the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 832.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.50%, and net profit increasing by 47.77% [17][21] - Public fund holdings in the computer sector decreased to 2.6% in Q3 2025, indicating a low allocation but potential for future increases as AI technology continues to develop [25][29] 2025 Review - The computer industry saw a significant performance recovery, with a cumulative increase of 14.05% by December 11, 2025, ranking 17th among 31 primary industries [13][12] - The emergence of DeepSeek's R1 model marked a milestone in domestic AI, significantly lowering deployment barriers and accelerating AI application [32][38] - The overall gross margin for the computer industry was 20.73%, reflecting a slight decline, but cost control measures were effective, reducing the combined expense ratio by 2.08 percentage points [21][24] 2026 Outlook - Continued growth in capital expenditures (CapEx) from major domestic and international companies is expected, with a focus on AI computing power [113][114] - The report anticipates a significant increase in the adoption of enterprise-level AI applications, driven by top-level policies and the proliferation of AI agents [8][9] - The development of multi-modal capabilities in large models is expected to expand their application range significantly, moving beyond text to physical world interactions [7][8]

2026年计算机行业年度策略:从“+AI”到“AI+”,AI巨轮破浪前行 - Reportify