计算机行业2026年投资策略:模型迭代驱动、应用突破与算力国产引领行业发展
GF SECURITIES·2025-12-12 14:48

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the computer industry is driven by model iteration, application breakthroughs, and domestic computing power leadership, with a buy rating for the sector [2][4][17]. Industry Overview - The AI infrastructure sector is transitioning from "testing and trial" to "large-scale rollout in 2026" for domestic AI chip replacements, with a narrowing gap between domestic and international leading models [8][17][26]. - The AI application sector is categorized into three types of companies: those with recognized benchmark clients but in early stages, those with long-term trends but uncertain timelines, and those leveraging AI with reachable inflection points [8][17][19]. - The EDA and R&D software sector is seeing rapid improvement in domestic product capabilities, with mergers and acquisitions expected to accelerate due to policy support [8][17][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, the report suggests focusing on competitive chip tracks, overseas expansion, and new autonomous driving opportunities, recommending global AMR leader Geek+ [8][18][21]. - The report notes that traditional trust and innovation directions are facing funding delays, while the release of HarmonyOS PC in 2025 is seen as a catalyst for business growth and technological upgrades [8][18][21]. - The energy information sector is expected to benefit from stable capital expenditures and market reforms, although policy implementation timelines need to be monitored [8][18][21]. Key Companies - In the AI infrastructure sector, recommended companies include Cambricon, Inspur, and Unisoc, with attention to Sugon [8][19]. - For AI applications, notable companies are Jingtaikong, Rainbowsoft, and Kingdee International, with additional focus on Hancloud and Guangyun Technology [8][19][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, key players include Geek+, Black Sesame Intelligence, and Rui Ming Technology, with recommendations to monitor Desay SV and SOTER [8][19][21]. - In the EDA and R&D software sector, companies like GigaDevice, Gexin Electronics, and BGI are highlighted, with attention to Zhongkong Technology and Haocen Software [8][19][21]. - For trust and innovation, recommended companies include Kingsoft and Softcom, with additional focus on Taiji Co. and China Software International [8][19][21]. - In the energy information sector, notable companies are Guoneng Rixin and Longxin Group, with attention to State Grid Information and South Grid Digital [8][19][22].