GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-12-13 15:35Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry [4][18]. Core Insights - The continuation of the vehicle trade-in policy is expected to bolster demand resilience in 2026, although the marginal stimulus from subsidies is diminishing, leading to increased competition among domestic automakers [15][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of structural opportunities within the industry, particularly for companies that can differentiate their products [15][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Weekly Market Review - The automotive index remained flat over the past week, with the new energy vehicle index down by 1% [2][8]. - Year-to-date, the automotive index has increased by 19%, while the new energy vehicle index has only risen by 1% [9][10]. 2. Vehicle Trade-in Policy Continuation - The central economic work conference highlighted the need to boost consumption and investment efficiency, extending the "two new" policies, which include large-scale equipment updates and trade-in programs [15]. - From January to November 2025, the trade-in policy facilitated over 11.2 million vehicle exchanges [15]. 3. Investment Strategy and Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with high cost-performance ratios and emerging technologies, recommending leading firms such as Dechang Motor Holdings and Haoneng Co [18]. - It highlights the competitive pressure in the passenger vehicle market and recommends companies like Great Wall Motors and SAIC Motor for their differentiated product strategies [18]. - The report also identifies opportunities in the data center power supply sector, recommending Weichai Power and Yuchai International [18]. 4. Key Company Performance Predictions - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for several companies, all rated as "Overweight" [19]. - Notable recommendations include BYD, which has a projected EPS of 3.80 for 2025, and Great Wall Motors, with an EPS of 1.53 for the same year [19].