转债配置建议关注预期差较大的三个价值洼地

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Overseas, the Fed's guidance on 2026 interest - rate cut expectations affects tech - stock valuations. Compared with the potential tightening of the ECB and BOJ, the Fed remains dovish, pressuring the US dollar. The Trump administration's 2025 "US National Security Strategy" may lead to a power vacuum in some regions, causing countries to increase defense spending and reshaping the geopolitical landscape. The report continues to be bullish on gold and US Treasuries [1][39] - Domestically, the equity market is oscillating, and risk appetite is generally low at the end of the year. The market has difficulty forming a consensus. Convertible bonds, with an additional option value, present a configuration window at the end of the year and beginning of the next year in sectors with large expectation gaps [1][40] - The top ten high - rated, medium - low - priced convertible bonds with the greatest potential for par premium rate repair next week are Hope Convertible Bond, Liqun Convertible Bond, Eagle 19 Convertible Bond, etc. [1][41] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Weekly Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Overall Rise - From December 8 to 12, 2025, the equity market generally rose. The average daily trading volume of the two markets increased from about 8105.49 billion yuan to 24948.34 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 48.12% [6][10] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.34% to 3889.35 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.84% to 13258.33 points, the ChiNext Index rose 2.74% to 3194.36 points, and the CSI 300 fell 0.08% to 4580.95 points [6] - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 8 industries closed up, with 3 industries rising more than 2%. Communication, national defense and military industry, electronics, machinery equipment, and power equipment led the gains, while coal, petroleum and petrochemicals, steel, textile and apparel, and basic chemicals led the losses [14] 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Overall Rise - From December 8 to 12, 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.20%. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 11 industries closed up, with 4 industries rising more than 2%. National defense and military industry, building materials, electronics, communication, and automobile led the gains, while coal, basic chemicals, social services, commercial and retail trade, and non - ferrous metals led the losses [16] - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 606.37 billion yuan, a significant increase of 68.36 billion yuan, a 12.71% week - on - week change. The top ten convertible bonds in terms of trading volume were Zai 22 Convertible Bond, Furong Convertible Bond, etc. [16] - Approximately 35.77% of individual convertible bonds rose, about 16.88% rose in the 0 - 1% range, and 14.61% rose more than 2% [16] - The overall market conversion premium rate rose, with an average daily conversion premium rate of 42.34%, a 1.49 - percentage - point increase from the previous week. Different price and parity intervals showed different trends [22] 1.3 Stock - Bond Market Sentiment Comparison - The trading sentiment of the convertible bond market was better this week. The weighted average and median of convertible bond price changes were positive and negative respectively, while those of the underlying stocks were both negative. The trading volume of both the underlying stocks and convertible bonds increased significantly, with the underlying stocks having a larger increase and a higher quantile level [36] - On different trading days, the trading sentiment of the stock and convertible bond markets alternated. For example, on December 8, the trading sentiment of the stock market was better, while on December 9, the trading sentiment of the convertible bond market was better [37] 2. Future Outlook and Investment Strategy - Overseas, continue to be bullish on gold and US Treasuries due to the Fed's stance and the US national security strategy [1][39] - Domestically, for convertible bonds, there are configuration opportunities at the end of the year and beginning of the next year in three sectors: AI edge - side, especially consumer electronics; upstream targets such as chip manufacturing and key substrates; and power transmission and distribution equipment [1][40]