环保行业:中央经济会议强调“双碳”,绿能发展势不可挡
GF SECURITIES·2025-12-14 08:45

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the environmental protection industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The central economic meeting emphasized the "dual carbon" strategy, indicating a strong push towards green energy development and comprehensive green transformation in the industry [13][15]. - The report highlights significant investment opportunities in waste management, recycling, and renewable energy sectors, particularly in waste incineration and carbon monitoring equipment [15][18]. - The report notes a trend of increasing dividend payouts among solid waste companies, with the average dividend payout ratio rising from 34.3% in 2019 to 48.5% in 2024, indicating a shift towards a "dividend investment strategy" in a mature market [15][19]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Dual Carbon and Green Transformation - The central economic meeting outlined key initiatives for promoting energy efficiency and carbon reduction across major industries, including the establishment of a national carbon trading market and comprehensive solid waste management actions [13][15]. - The report anticipates growth in the green economy, particularly in sectors like waste incineration and recycling, driven by government policies [15][18]. Section 2: Biodiesel Market Insights - The report discusses the biodiesel market, noting a slight decrease in SAF prices while UCO prices remain strong, with UCO prices reaching $1,065 per ton, an 8.1% increase since the beginning of the year [19][22]. - The report suggests that companies involved in waste oil processing and biodiesel production will benefit from these market dynamics, particularly those with integrated operations [28]. Section 3: Policy Tracking - The report tracks domestic and international developments related to carbon neutrality, including the establishment of a carbon trading market and the EU's commitment to significant emission reductions by 2040 [31][32]. - It highlights the importance of policy frameworks in driving the green transition and the role of financial support for green projects [38]. Section 4: Company Announcements and Market Trends - The report provides updates on key companies in the environmental sector, including investment agreements and project developments that enhance market competitiveness [41][43]. - It notes that the environmental sector's valuation is currently at historical lows, suggesting potential for future growth [41].