GF SECURITIES·2025-12-14 09:09Core Insights - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector, with copper prices stabilizing at $11,000 per ton, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2][3] - The report highlights the expected slight decline in industrial metal prices due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, while maintaining a medium-term upward trend for copper prices [6] Industrial Metals and Steel - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is anticipated to lead to a slight decline in industrial metal prices. Copper prices reached a historical high of $11,800 per ton on December 11, 2025, with COMEX copper inventories hitting a record 410,000 tons [6] - The report notes a balanced supply-demand situation in the steel market, with a 1% decrease in rebar procurement in Shanghai and a 1.5 percentage point drop in blast furnace operating rates [6] - Key companies to watch include Jiangxi Copper, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, and China Molybdenum [6] Gold - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is expected to solidify the long-term upward trend in gold prices. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose to 236,000, exceeding expectations [6] - Companies of interest in the gold sector include Zhaojin Mining and Zhongjin Gold [6] Minor Metals - The report expresses optimism regarding cobalt prices, with a slight decrease in electrolytic cobalt prices to 410,000 yuan per ton. The supply-demand gap is expected to widen following the implementation of new export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo [6] - Companies to monitor include Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [6] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides a detailed valuation and financial analysis of key companies in the sector, with several companies rated as "Buy" based on their expected performance over the next 12 months. For instance, Luoyang Molybdenum is rated with a target price of 19.74 yuan per share, while China Aluminum is rated with a target price of 13.02 yuan per share [7]