——医药生物行业周报：2025年医保药品目录和首个商保药品目录公布-20251214

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [1]. Core Insights - The 2025 National Basic Medical Insurance Drug List has been published, adding 114 new drugs, with a negotiation/competitive bidding success rate of 88%, higher than the 76% in 2024. The total number of drugs in the insurance list has increased to 3,253, including 1,857 Western medicines and 1,396 traditional Chinese medicines [12]. - The pharmaceutical sector has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a year-to-date return of 14.65% against the CSI 300's 16.43%, resulting in a 1.77 percentage point lag [21]. - The current valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is 33.0 times PE based on 2026 earnings forecasts, representing a 41% premium over the overall A-share market (excluding financials) [21]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector has seen a decline of 1.04% in the past week, ranking 17th among 31 primary sub-industries. The sub-sectors of chemical pharmaceuticals, biological products, medical devices, pharmaceutical commerce, traditional Chinese medicine, and medical services have experienced weekly changes of -0.75%, -1.85%, -1.79%, -4.26%, -2.03%, and +1.67%, respectively [11][22]. Market Dynamics - The pharmaceutical sector's performance from the beginning of 2025 to December 12 shows a return of 14.65%, while the CSI 300 index returned 16.43%, indicating a relative underperformance of 1.77 percentage points [21]. Valuation Analysis - The current valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is 29.0 times PE based on trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings, which is below the historical average of 35.0 times PE from January 4, 2010, to December 12, 2025. The sector's premium over the overall A-share market (excluding financials) is 16.3% [21]. Industry Developments - The first commercial health insurance drug list has been established, including 19 drugs that enjoy various policy benefits. This list is effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027, and includes five CAR-T products [12].