行业研究|行业周报|投资银行业与经纪业:市场交投高位延续,关注非银板块配置机遇-20251214
Changjiang Securities·2025-12-14 11:42

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong overall performance this week, with brokerage firms experiencing an increase in market activity, maintaining historical highs. It is expected that the sector will continue to see high growth trends in earnings through 2025, suggesting a focus on the sector's future allocation value [2][4]. - In the insurance sector, the third-quarter reports have confirmed the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs. The long-term return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve, leading to a potential acceleration in valuation recovery. The overall cost-effectiveness of allocations is gradually increasing, indicating a revaluation of the sector is underway [2][4]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies with stable earnings growth and dividend rates, such as Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, which have clear advantages in business models and market positions. Additionally, companies like Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings are also recommended based on their performance elasticity and valuation levels [4]. Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 0.8% this week, with an excess return of 0.9% relative to the CSI 300, ranking high in the industry [5]. - Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has risen by 6.7%, but with an excess return of -9.7% compared to the CSI 300, ranking lower in the industry [5]. - The average daily trading volume in the two markets reached 19,530.44 billion yuan, a week-on-week increase of 15.14%, with a daily turnover rate of 2.03%, up by 26.88 basis points [5]. Key Industry News & Company Announcements - China Life's cumulative total premium income has exceeded 700 billion yuan [6]. - Guosen Securities plans to distribute cash dividends totaling approximately 1.024 billion yuan, accounting for 11.21% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters [6]. - Industrial Securities announced a mid-term profit distribution plan, with a total cash dividend of 432 million yuan based on a total share capital of 8.636 billion shares [6].