Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The demand for satellite applications is expected to release, leading to a breakthrough in rocket supply [1] - The construction of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations is progressing slower than anticipated, resulting in a rapid increase in rocket launch demand [5][19] - The cost of rocket launch capacity is continuously decreasing, and the industry capacity is expanding [4][32] Summary by Sections 1. Low Earth Satellite Communication: Multi-Scenario Applications Leading Industry Growth - Satellite internet is a new type of network that provides broadband internet access globally through a certain number of satellites, enhancing military communication networks and expanding service coverage for ground users [5][10] - The construction of low Earth satellite constellations is facing "frequency occupation and orbit preservation" pressures, with significant demand in China [5][21] 2. Rocket Sector: Demand Explosion, Supply Breakthrough, Moving Towards High Frequency and Low-Cost Commercial Closure - The number of planned satellite launches in China is expected to reach approximately 16,000 over the next five years, leading to a rapid increase in rocket launch frequency from 54 times in 2025 to 860 times in 2030, with a CAGR of 74% [24][25] - By 2029, the demand for space computing in China is projected to correspond to 6,800 rocket launches, with a global total of 15,000 launches [27] - The national team is continuously expanding capacity, and private rocket companies are expected to see concentrated test launches by the end of this year [29][32] 3. Key Industry Chain Targets - The report highlights several key suppliers and potential main manufacturers in the rocket industry, including: - Hangyang Co., Ltd. as a liquid oxygen fuel supplier [38] - Plater Technology as a 3D printing parts supplier for rockets [38] - Aerospace Power as the only listed platform of the Sixth Academy of Aerospace Science and Technology [38]
商业航天深度报告(火箭篇):卫星应用需求释放,火箭供给有望突破