Ping An Securities·2025-12-15 02:09Group 1: Industry Overview - The computer industry has shown steady revenue growth and improved profit margins, with total revenue reaching 939.34 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [11] - The software development sub-industry has seen significant profit improvements, while the computer equipment sub-industry remains relatively high in terms of market sentiment [11] - The industry has experienced a volatile upward trend since the beginning of 2025, with the computer industry index rising by 18.54% as of November 28, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.5 percentage points [18] Group 2: Algorithm and Applications - The global landscape of large models is rapidly evolving, with significant competition among closed-source models from companies like Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI, while domestic open-source models like Kimi K2 and MiniMax-M2 maintain a leading position [27][30] - The focus of large model applications is shifting towards programming, enterprise services, and office productivity tools, indicating a convergence in the market [42] - The integration of multi-modal capabilities and AI agents is becoming a competitive focal point in the large model market, expanding the boundaries of model tasks [32][34] Group 3: Computing Power - The AI computing power market is experiencing high demand, with the global AI server market projected to grow at a CAGR of 15.5% from 2024 to 2028, while China's market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 30.6% during the same period [10] - The domestic AI computing power chip industry is poised for growth due to strong policy support and increasing downstream demand, with a clear trend towards self-sufficiency [10][22] Group 4: Intelligent Driving - The penetration rate of Navigate on Autopilot (NOA) features is increasing, indicating a rapid commercialization of the intelligent driving industry in China, with the market size expected to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2030 [4] - Major players like Tesla and Xpeng are advancing their intelligent driving technologies, with significant updates and new model releases enhancing their market positions [4][5] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the computer industry, highlighting investment opportunities in AI computing power, algorithms, and intelligent driving sectors [5] - Specific stock recommendations include companies like Zhongke Chuangda, Haiguang Information, and Industrial Fulian in the AI computing power segment, and companies like Daotong Technology and Kingsoft Office in the AI algorithm and application space [5][6]