华泰证券今日早参-20251215

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The Federal Reserve is likely to enter an "observation period" after the recent interest rate cut, amid conflicting inflation and employment indicators [2][3] - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes a moderate expansion policy and high-quality development, with a more positive stance on real estate policies [3][4] - Domestic macro data shows active resident travel but subdued industrial production, with a focus on the impact of real estate policies and fiscal measures for the upcoming year [3][4] Group 2: Investment Strategies - A bottom-up approach is recommended for positioning in the spring market, focusing on five structural themes, including AI computing power and lithium battery storage [3][4] - The market sentiment in Hong Kong remains pessimistic, with potential catalysts for future rallies identified, such as RMB appreciation and domestic technological advancements [4] - Investors are advised to adopt a trading mindset in convertible bonds, focusing on short-term opportunities while being cautious of credit events [7][8] Group 3: Sector-Specific Developments - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange launched the HKEX Technology 100 Index, which has outperformed the Hang Seng Tech Index, indicating a broader coverage of tech-related sectors [5] - The energy sector is shifting focus from supply to demand research, with AI infrastructure driving significant growth in electricity demand [12] - The investment focus in the solid-state battery equipment sector is shifting towards production engineering, with expectations for significant growth in the coming years [13]