供给端政策频出,好房子建设需要好建材:建筑材料
Huafu Securities·2025-12-15 08:09

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8][64] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need for stable real estate market policies, including controlling inventory and encouraging the construction of quality housing [3][13] - It highlights that the construction materials sector is expected to benefit from supply-side reforms and a potential recovery in housing demand due to lower interest rates and supportive policies [6][13] - The report notes that the market is becoming increasingly sensitive to policy easing as the sales area of commercial housing has been declining for over three years [3][6] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The central economic work conference has outlined measures to stabilize the real estate market, including promoting the construction of quality housing and reforming the housing provident fund system [3][13] - The report anticipates that the construction materials sector will see a turning point in the capacity cycle due to supply-side reforms and improved purchasing intentions driven by lower interest rates [6][13] Recent High-Frequency Data - As of December 12, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement is 341.1 CNY/ton, a 0.3% increase from last week but a 17.9% decrease year-on-year [4][14] - The average price of glass (5.00mm) is 1091.4 CNY/ton, down 1.0% from last week and down 19.5% year-on-year [4][22] Sector Review - The construction materials index has decreased by 1.41%, with sub-sectors like glass manufacturing and cement manufacturing showing declines of 1.79% and 1.21%, respectively [5][51] - The report suggests that the construction materials sector's fundamentals and valuations are expected to recover further, with specific recommendations for stocks in the sector [6][51]

供给端政策频出,好房子建设需要好建材:建筑材料 - Reportify