电网设备ETF配置价值分析

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Grid Equipment ETF (159326.SZ) managed by Huaxia Fund tracks the CSI Grid Equipment Theme Index (931994.CSI). From May 1, 2025, to December 12, 2025, the best convergent stock of the Grid Equipment ETF is Hongfa Co., Ltd. (600885.SH), selected by considering the trend deviation and research coverage between component stocks and the grid equipment index [3][9]. - From November 2024 to June 2025, Hongfa Co., Ltd.'s bottom - valuation based on 2024 EPS was close to 19.5 times PE. As of December 12, 2025, its stock price fluctuations did not exceed the value range defined by the fundamental value of T - 1 year and the expected fundamental value of T+2 year. Based on December 12, 2025, data, the expected per - share fundamental values from 2025 to 2027 were 24.25, 28.09, and 32.38 yuan respectively, and the closing price was 30.42 yuan/share. The rebound in December started near 28 yuan/share, and the current stock price is still lower than the 2027 per - share fundamental value [3][9]. - According to the position of Hongfa Co., Ltd.'s closing price in the expected per - share fundamental value range from 2025 to 2027, the closing position on December 12, 2025, was 52.81%. From October 9, 2025, to December 12, 2025, the Sharpe ratio and return - drawdown ratio of the Grid Equipment ETF based on Hongfa Co., Ltd.'s dynamic position allocation were better than those of the buy - and - hold strategy. The allocation strategy achieved a 11.60% terminal return with a maximum drawdown of 4.45%, while the buy - and - hold strategy of the Grid Equipment ETF achieved a 9.28% terminal return with a maximum drawdown of 14.03% [4][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Grid Equipment ETF Configuration Value Analysis - The Grid Equipment ETF (159326.SZ) is managed by Huaxia Fund and tracks the CSI Grid Equipment Theme Index (931994.CSI) [3][9]. - The best convergent stock of the Grid Equipment ETF from May 1, 2025, to December 12, 2025, is Hongfa Co., Ltd. (600885.SH) [3][9]. - Hongfa Co., Ltd.'s bottom - valuation from November 2024 to June 2025 was close to 19.5 times PE, and its stock price did not exceed the defined value range as of December 12, 2025 [3][9]. - The expected per - share fundamental values of Hongfa Co., Ltd. from 2025 to 2027 are 24.25, 28.09, and 32.38 yuan respectively, and the closing price on December 12, 2025, was 30.42 yuan/share [3][9]. - The closing position on December 12, 2025, was 52.81%. The dynamic position allocation strategy outperformed the buy - and - hold strategy in the period from October 9, 2025, to December 12, 2025 [4][10].