双欣环保(001369):注册制新股纵览:全产业链布局,高端化转型提速
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-15 12:24

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is positioned at 2.53 points, placing it in the 34.4% percentile of the AHP model, indicating a lower tier in the upstream segment [10]. Core Insights - The company has established a complete industrial chain centered around PVA, achieving self-sufficiency in key raw materials and expanding downstream product offerings. As of the end of 2024, the company has a PVA production capacity of 130,000 tons and calcium carbide capacity of 870,000 tons, ranking third and eighth in market share in China, respectively [11][12]. - The company is implementing a "dual high" reduction plan to decrease the revenue contribution from PVA and calcium carbide to 40% by 2027, while actively expanding into high-value downstream sectors [12][20]. - The company has faced declining revenues and profits due to falling prices of calcium carbide and PVA, with a projected revenue of 3.718 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 6.66% year-on-year growth [24]. Summary by Sections AHP Score and Expected Allocation Ratio - The company’s AHP score, adjusted for liquidity premium factors, is 2.53, indicating a lower tier in the upstream segment. The expected allocation ratios for offline investors are 0.0173% for Class A and 0.0150% for Class B under a neutral scenario [10][11]. Fundamental Highlights and Features - The company has built a circular economy industrial chain around PVA, achieving self-sufficiency in calcium carbide and expanding into various downstream products. This strategy helps mitigate raw material price volatility [11][12]. - The company is focusing on high-value products, with plans to reduce the production and sales scale of high-pollution products, aiming for a significant shift towards high-value non-high-pollution products [20][22]. Comparable Company Financial Metrics - The company’s revenue and net profit have shown a declining trend, with a CAGR of -17.01% and -19.69% from 2022 to 2024, primarily due to falling prices of calcium carbide and PVA [24]. - The company’s average sales gross margin is higher than that of comparable companies, benefiting from cost reduction measures and energy-saving upgrades [27][28]. Fundraising Projects and Development Vision - The company plans to raise funds for projects including the production of PVB resin and functional films, water-based adhesives, and energy efficiency upgrades, with a total investment of 1.878 billion yuan [46][47].

双欣环保(001369):注册制新股纵览:全产业链布局,高端化转型提速 - Reportify