双欣环保(001369):注册制新股纵览 20251215:全产业链布局,高端化转型提速
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-12-15 12:54

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is positioned at 2.53 points, placing it in the 34.4% percentile of the AHP model for non-technology innovation systems, indicating a lower upstream level [5][8]. Core Insights - The company has established a complete circular economy industrial chain centered around PVA, achieving self-sufficiency in key raw materials and diversifying downstream products. As of the end of 2024, the company has a PVA production capacity of 130,000 tons and an acetylene production capacity of 870,000 tons, ranking third and eighth in market share in China, respectively [5][10]. - The company is implementing a "dual high" reduction plan to decrease the revenue contribution from PVA and acetylene to 40% by 2027, while actively expanding into high-value downstream sectors [5][18]. - The company has signed significant sales agreements for high-end products, including a projected annual sales of 300 million yuan for PVA water-soluble films and 700 million yuan for DMC/EMC/DEC products, indicating a strong potential for revenue growth [20][41]. Summary by Sections AHP Score and Expected Allocation Ratio - The company is set to go public on December 11, 2025, with an AHP score of 2.53, indicating a lower upstream level. The expected allocation ratios for offline investors are 0.0173% for Class A and 0.0150% for Class B under neutral conditions [8][9]. Fundamental Highlights and Features - The company has built a circular economy industrial chain around PVA, achieving self-sufficiency in acetylene and diversifying into various downstream products. This structure helps mitigate risks associated with raw material price fluctuations [10][16]. - The company is facing intense competition in the domestic PVA market, with high-end products largely dominated by foreign imports. However, there is significant potential for domestic substitution in high-value applications [16][17]. - The "dual high" reduction plan aims to decrease the production and sales scale of high-pollution products, with a focus on expanding into high-value non-high-pollution products [18][19]. Comparable Company Financial Metrics - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit from 2022 to 2024, with a CAGR of -17.01% and -19.69%, respectively, primarily due to falling prices of acetylene and PVA [22][24]. - The company’s gross margin has stabilized due to cost reduction efforts, with sales gross margins of 24.92% in 2022, 21.76% in 2023, and 22.22% in 2024 [24][25]. - The company maintains a lower debt ratio compared to its peers, with an asset-liability ratio of 26.62% in 2022, indicating a strong financial position [29][30]. Fundraising Projects and Development Vision - The company plans to raise funds for projects including the production of PVB resin and functional films, water-based adhesives, and energy efficiency upgrades, with a total investment of 1.878 billion yuan [41][42]. - The expected internal rate of return for the PVB resin project is 20.20%, indicating strong profitability potential [42].