贵金属日报-20251215
Guo Tou Qi Huo·2025-12-15 13:09
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Gold: ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but poor operability on the market [1] - Silver: ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but poor operability on the market [1] 2. Core View of the Report - Today, precious metals continued to strengthen. After the Fed's interest - rate cut and bond - buying, the easing trade is expected to continue. Attention is paid to this week's US November non - farm and CPI data [1] - Short - term silver hit a new high, and gold is approaching the October high. If the resistance is broken, precious metals may remain strong. Platinum and palladium hit new highs, and long - term allocation is clear [1] 3. Summary by Related Information Fed's Policy and Officials' Views - Last week, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, announced to buy $40 billion short - term bonds in the next 30 days. There were internal differences, and the dot plot maintained the expectation of one interest rate cut each in the next two years [1] - Powell said the risk of employment decline increased, and the interest rate was at the upper end of the neutral range. The meeting was overall neutral, and restarting bond - buying was earlier than expected [1] - After the meeting, several officials still expressed a cautious attitude towards interest rate cuts. Last week's employment data was mixed, with the number of job openings in October increasing to 7.67 million and the weekly initial jobless claims increasing by 44,000 to 236,000 [1] - Goolsbee: Wait for more data before cutting rates, and expect more rate cuts in 2026 than the median; Schmid: Inflation is still too high, and a moderately restrictive monetary policy should be maintained; Paulson: More concerned about employment risks, and the monetary policy is restrictive; Harker: Tend to adopt a slightly more restrictive policy stance [2] Market Performance of Precious Metals - Short - term silver continued to hit a new high, showing strong financial attributes and tight spot supply under the enhanced expectation of Fed's rate cut. Gold rose to near the October high [1] - Platinum and palladium prices hit new highs on Monday, with the outer market breaking through the previous high and accelerating. They follow the bull market of precious metals, are favored by long - term funds, and have macro premium and potential demand from the commercial space and hydrogen sectors [1] Other News - Trump prefers to choose former Fed governor Warsh or White House National Economic Council Director Hassett as the next Fed chairman [2] - Ukrainian President Zelensky proposed to give up joining NATO during a five - hour talk in Berlin. The US envoy said the talks made "significant progress" but did not disclose details [2]
贵金属日报-20251215 - Reportify