Changjiang Securities·2025-12-15 14:59Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the healthcare sector [14] Core Insights - The non-pharmaceutical sector is facing performance pressure in 2025 due to price reductions from centralized procurement, medical insurance cost control, and the closure of retail pharmacies. However, companies are leveraging overseas expansion and innovation to achieve growth [4][9] - For 2026, the domestic fundamentals are expected to improve, with companies seeking new growth points primarily through overseas expansion and innovation, particularly in insulin and medical devices [9] - The report highlights that the insulin market is stabilizing post-centralized procurement, with significant overseas opportunities for leading companies like Mindray Medical and Ganli Pharmaceutical [10][24] - The focus on innovation in traditional Chinese medicine and medical devices is expected to create alpha opportunities for individual stocks [9][11] Summary by Sections Non-Pharmaceutical Sector - The non-pharmaceutical sector is under pressure but has opportunities through overseas expansion and innovation. Insulin and medical devices are key areas for long-term growth [4][9] - Companies like Mindray Medical and Ganli Pharmaceutical are beginning to realize overseas revenue, indicating a significant long-term market potential [9] Biopharmaceuticals - The report prioritizes insulin, with ongoing attention to blood products and vaccines. The insulin market is stabilizing, and companies are focusing on innovation and business development [10][24] - The report notes that the insulin market in developed countries is valued at $13.2 billion, with significant growth potential in emerging markets [24] Traditional Chinese Medicine - The focus is on innovation and the basic drug catalog, which is crucial for accelerating drug sales and enhancing market presence [11][12] - The report anticipates a recovery in performance due to early flu outbreaks and emphasizes the importance of retail pharmacy sales [11] Medical Devices - The report indicates that the medical device sector is at a turning point, with overseas revenue for leading companies expected to exceed 50% in 2025 [12] - The report suggests focusing on low-value consumables and in vitro diagnostics as key growth areas [12] Vaccines - The vaccine sector is currently facing challenges, with price reductions and low demand impacting sales. However, there are ongoing developments in innovative vaccines that warrant attention [39][40] - The report highlights the importance of tracking clinical progress and market performance of major vaccine candidates [40]