冠通期货资讯早间报-20251216

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive overview of the overnight market trends, important macro - economic news, and developments across various sectors including futures (energy, metals, black - series, and agricultural products), financial markets (stocks, bonds, foreign exchange), and international news, which can help investors understand the current market situation and potential investment opportunities [5][10][29]. 3. Summary by Directory Overnight Night - Market Trends - Domestic platinum and palladium futures rose significantly on December 15. Platinum 2606 contract hit the daily limit with a 7% increase, and palladium futures rose 4.73% [5]. - International precious metal futures generally closed up, with COMEX gold rising 0.14% and COMEX silver rising 3.42% [6]. - Crude oil futures declined, with the US oil main contract down 1.32% and Brent crude down 1.16% [7]. - Most London base metals fell, except for copper and aluminum [7]. Important Information Macro - Economic News - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange emphasized maintaining the stable operation of the foreign exchange market and the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate in 2026 [10]. - The Shanghai Arbitration Commission is about to introduce the Shanghai Arbitration Commission Securities and Futures Arbitration Rules [10]. - The Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (European route) increased 0.1% as of December 15 [11]. - In November, housing prices in first - tier cities continued to decline, and the decline in second - and third - tier cities narrowed [11]. - A Fed official said the current policy stance is too tight, and inflation is expected to ease [11]. Energy and Chemical Futures - Shandong independent refineries' crude oil arrivals decreased by 58.57% week - on - week in the week ending December 15 [14]. - OPEC expects global energy demand to grow 23% by 2050, with oil remaining the largest single energy source [14]. Metal Futures - Nornickel doubled its nickel surplus forecast for this year and more than doubled the forecast for 2026 [16]. - The group standard for gold trade - in business was officially released [16]. - Guinea started the construction of an alumina plant, accelerating its transformation to downstream industrial processing [16]. - Indonesia's refined tin exports in November reached a two - year high [18]. - LME plans to set and implement position limits on key and related contracts from July 6, 2026 [18]. - Peru's copper, zinc, lead, and tin production increased in October [19]. Black - Series Futures - In early December, the daily output of key steel enterprises showed different trends, with crude steel increasing, and pig iron and steel products decreasing [21]. - Iron ore arrivals at Chinese ports increased from December 8 - 14 [21]. - Global iron ore shipments increased from December 8 - 14 [21]. Agricultural Product Futures - As of early December, the average cotton inventory usage days of surveyed textile enterprises decreased slightly, and the national cotton industrial inventory decreased slightly [24]. - Malaysian palm oil exports from December 1 - 15 decreased compared to the previous month [25][26]. - India's vegetable oil imports in November decreased compared to October, with different trends for different types of oils [26]. - US private exporters reported soybean and corn sales for the 2025/2026 season [26]. - US soybean exports to China increased in the week ending December 11 [26]. Financial Markets Financial - The CSRC outlined key reform directions for the capital market during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period [29]. - A - shares declined with reduced trading volume, and different sectors showed different trends [29]. - Hong Kong stocks also fell, and Xiaomi received net buying [29]. - Brokerage business turnover on the dragon and tiger list increased significantly this year [30]. - Institutions' enthusiasm for researching listed companies remained high in December [31]. - A - share cash dividends reached a record high this year [33]. - The Shanghai Arbitration Commission is about to introduce arbitration rules for securities and futures [33]. - HKEX is considering reforms on trading lot size and extending trading hours [33]. - A domestic GPU company will be listed on the A - share market, and another completed HK IPO filing [33]. Industry - China approved the first batch of L3 - level conditionally autonomous driving vehicles for commercial pilots [34]. - Several substances were added to the non - edible substances list [34]. - Some lithium iron phosphate enterprises proposed price increases [36]. - China is promoting 6G development and expects large - scale commercialization by 2035 [36]. - The 27th Harbin Ice and Snow World will open on December 17 [36]. Overseas - Multiple European countries and institutions plan to form a "multinational force" to support Ukraine [37]. - The nomination of the new Fed chairman candidate faces resistance [37]. - Fed officials expressed their views on the economy, inflation, and policy stance [37][38]. - The Bank of Japan may start selling ETFs next month [40]. International Stock Markets - US stocks declined slightly, and European stocks rose [41]. - NASDAQ plans to extend trading hours to 23 hours on weekdays [41]. - iRobot filed for bankruptcy and will be taken over by Yunjing Intelligence [42]. Commodities - Platinum and palladium futures in the domestic market rose sharply on December 15 [43][44]. - ICBC will close personal precious metal trading services for "three - no" customers [44]. - International precious metal futures rose, and crude oil futures fell [44]. - Most London base metals fell, and Goldman Sachs adjusted its copper price forecast [45]. Bonds - The domestic bond market weakened, and US bond yields showed mixed trends [46][47]. - South Korea extended its bond market stabilization plan [47]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the US dollar index fell [48]. - Argentina will adjust its exchange rate mechanism and implement a foreign exchange reserve accumulation plan [48]. - South Korea's NPS will support the won exchange rate [50]. Upcoming Events - On December 16, there will be 1173 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturities in the Chinese central bank's open market, and several conferences will be held [52]. - New stocks will be listed and a new stock will be available for subscription [52]. - The governor of the Bank of Canada will give a speech [52].