中央经济工作会议点评:坚持稳中求进关注扩大内需与反内卷
Dongxing Securities·2025-12-16 04:27

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining stability while seeking progress, advocating for continued implementation of proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies [3] - The focus on expanding domestic demand is highlighted as a primary option, indicating the urgency to boost internal consumption through various measures [4] - The report anticipates a marginal improvement in consumption and infrastructure investment, driven by supportive policies [4][5] Fiscal and Monetary Policy - The meeting outlines a direction for maintaining a loose monetary environment, with a flexible approach to using various policy tools such as interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments [3] - A more proactive fiscal policy is proposed, with an emphasis on maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and optimizing fiscal expenditure structures [3] Domestic Demand Expansion - Expanding domestic demand is prioritized, with plans to implement income increase strategies for urban and rural residents, aiming to stimulate consumption [4] - The report suggests that traditional infrastructure sectors may see a recovery in profitability due to policy support [4] Anti-Competition Measures - The report indicates an increased effort to combat "involution" in competition, which is expected to restore profitability in related industries [4] - A unified national market construction regulation is anticipated, which will help maintain a healthy competitive environment [4] Investment Strategy - The overall economic outlook for the next year is positive, with both fiscal and monetary policies expected to support a stable stock market [5] - The report identifies consumer sectors as having potential for marginal improvement in 2026, alongside a recovery in traditional industries due to anti-competition policies [5]