光储行业跟踪:11月国内新型储能新增招标规模环比大增,储能电芯持续高景气
Shanghai Aijian Securities·2025-12-16 05:44

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "stronger than the market" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in the bidding scale for new energy storage in November, indicating a sustained high demand for energy storage cells [1][5] - The production of photovoltaic (PV) modules in China decreased by 2.43% month-on-month in November, while energy storage demand remains robust [2][5] - The report suggests focusing on companies related to solar and storage sectors, recommending specific stocks such as Sunshine Power, Nandu Power, and others [2] Summary by Sections Production - In December 2025, the production forecast for China's market of power, storage, and consumer batteries is 220 GWh, a month-on-month increase of 5.3%, with energy storage cells accounting for approximately 35.3% [2][9] - The global production forecast for the same categories is 235 GWh, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 3.1% [2] Prices - As of December 10, 2025, the price of polysilicon remains stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price for lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems is 0.5721 CNY/Wh, showing a month-on-month decrease of 6.4% [2][10] Domestic Demand - In October 2025, the domestic PV installation reached 12.6 GW, a month-on-month increase of 30.4%, with a cumulative installation of 252.87 GW year-on-year growth of 39.5% [2][19] - The bidding scale for EPC/PC and energy storage systems in November reached 21.8 GW and 64 GWh, marking a month-on-month increase of 65% [2][21] Overseas Demand - In October 2025, the export value of PV modules was approximately 2.258 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 4.39% but a month-on-month decrease of 19.34% [2][26] - The report notes a significant growth potential in emerging markets, particularly in Australia, where inverter exports have seen a year-on-year increase exceeding 200% [2][29]