East Money Securities·2025-12-16 05:50Investment Rating - The report maintains a "stronger than the market" investment rating for the construction and decoration industry [3]. Core Viewpoints - The Central Economic Conference has set the tone for "dual easing," indicating that incremental policies and key projects are expected to advance [12][13]. - There is a significant increase in special bond net financing, with a cumulative net financing of 3.88 trillion yuan as of December 13, 2025, which is higher than the same period in the previous three years [13]. - The macroeconomic focus remains on stable growth, with expectations for further policies to promote infrastructure and real estate demand in the coming year [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Viewpoints and Investment Recommendations - The construction and decoration index fell by 1.59% last week, with specific sectors like landscaping engineering (+1.74%) and municipal engineering (+0.20%) performing better [12]. - The Central Economic Conference emphasized a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, suggesting that strategic projects will accelerate [12]. - The report identifies three main investment lines: 1. Recommend state-owned enterprises benefiting from national key projects, such as China Railway Construction and China State Construction [17]. 2. Focus on high-prosperity segments related to major strategic projects, recommending companies like High Hope Explosive and China Railway Industry [17]. 3. Support for companies transitioning to new productive forces like AI and robotics, recommending firms such as Roman Holdings and Hongrun Construction [17]. 2. Market Review - The report notes that the special bond issuance has completed 103% of the annual issuance target, with a total of 4.54 trillion yuan issued [13][16]. - The construction sector's performance is tracked, with specific stocks showing significant gains, such as Yaxiang Integration (+25.2%) and Hexin Instruments (+13.4%) [23]. 3. Key Company Dynamics - The report tracks significant company announcements, including China Chemical's nylon new material project achieving full production capacity and Shanghai Construction's provision of guarantees totaling 63.89 billion yuan [30]. 4. Industry Valuation Status - As of December 12, 2025, the PE ratios for various construction sub-sectors are as follows: housing construction (6.25x), municipal engineering (7.89x), and chemical engineering (10.56x) [31].