CATEC(SH:600879) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-12-16 11:19Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 19.77 CNY, indicating an expected performance that exceeds the benchmark index by more than 15% [11][19]. Core Insights - The company plans to increase its investment in its subsidiary, China Aerospace Long March Rocket Technology Co., Ltd., by 727.5 million CNY to enhance its capabilities in aerospace electronic information and to engage in key technology research and development, aligning with the new commercial aerospace landscape [3][11]. - The investment will primarily support the production capacity of aerospace electronic information-related businesses, including telemetry and control systems, and is expected to meet the growing demand in the aerospace industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [11]. - The company has achieved significant technological advancements over the past two decades, positioning itself as a leader in ground measurement and control, data link networking, and space information networks, which will be further strengthened by this capital increase [11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 18.727 billion CNY in 2023, with a decrease to 14.280 billion CNY in 2024, followed by a recovery to 21.469 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.7% from 2023 to 2027 [5][12]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 525 million CNY in 2023 to 846 million CNY in 2027, with a notable increase of 39.9% in 2026 [5][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.16 CNY in 2023 to 0.26 CNY in 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][12]. Market Data - The company's stock has a 52-week price range of 8.14 CNY to 15.82 CNY, with a current market capitalization of 52.195 billion CNY [6]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 99.45 in 2023 to 61.72 in 2027, suggesting an improving valuation as earnings grow [5][12]. - The company has a net asset return rate (ROE) projected to increase from 2.6% in 2023 to 3.8% in 2027, reflecting enhanced efficiency in generating profits from equity [7][12].