Guolian Minsheng Securities·2025-12-16 12:14Group 1 - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with retail sales showing low single-digit growth and exports declining year-on-year, particularly in the first half of 2025 [4][10][14] - From January to November 2025, China's textile and apparel exports totaled $305.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.3%, with a notable decline in footwear exports [14][17] - The textile and apparel index has increased by 15.1% from January to November 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.9 percentage points [23] Group 2 - The manufacturing sector is focusing on the recovery of Nike, with expectations of increased order visibility and potential valuation recovery for manufacturers closely tied to leading brands [30][42] - Global apparel retail performance is varied, with the US and UK showing moderate growth while Japan continues to face challenges, impacting overall demand [32][34] - The long-term trend indicates a shift in manufacturing capacity from China to Southeast Asia, driven by international trade dynamics and labor costs [44][46] Group 3 - The outdoor sports market is expected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.8% from 2019 to 2024, driven by increasing participation in events like marathons [4][6] - Domestic sports brands are showing resilience, with brands like Anta and Li Ning benefiting from structural demand changes and expanding their market presence [7][30] - The demand for high-quality personal care products is on the rise, with opportunities for companies like Sturdy Medical and Nobon to capture market share [7][30]