11月宏观经济数据出炉，资金面依然宽松，债市延续调整

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - On December 15, the capital market remained loose, the bond market continued to adjust with greater fluctuations in ultra - long bonds, the convertible bond market followed the decline, and most convertible bond issues fell; yields of US Treasury bonds across various maturities generally declined, and yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies generally decreased [1]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 Bond Market News - Domestic News - The 24th issue of Qiushi magazine published General Secretary Xi Jinping's important article "Expanding Domestic Demand is a Strategic Move", emphasizing that expanding domestic demand is crucial for economic stability and security [3]. - The CSRC will continue to deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market to contribute to economic development [3]. - In November, the year - on - year actual growth of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size was 4.8%, and the cumulative year - on - year actual growth in the first 11 months was 6.0%. The year - on - year growth of total retail sales of consumer goods in November was 1.3%, and the cumulative year - on - year growth in the first 11 months was 4.0%. From January to November 2025, the cumulative year - on - year decline of national fixed - asset investment was 2.6% [4]. - Six departments supported eligible service outsourcing enterprises to use multi - level capital markets for financing and development [4]. - The DVP settlement function for open - market repurchase of bonds by the Central Bank's Accounting Data Centralized System was launched [5]. - International News - New York state's manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted, but the outlook for the next six months improved significantly, and inflation pressure eased [6]. - Commodities - On December 15, WTI January crude oil futures fell 1.08% to $56.82 per barrel, Brent February crude oil futures fell 0.92% to $60.56 per barrel, COMEX gold futures rose 0.12% to $4333.30 per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices fell 1.58% to $4.036 per ounce [7]. 3.2 Capital Market - Open - Market Operations - On December 15, the central bank conducted 7 - day reverse repurchase operations of 130.9 billion yuan, with an operating interest rate of 1.40%. After offsetting the 122.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchases due on the same day, the net capital injection was 8.6 billion yuan [9]. - Capital Interest Rates - On December 15, the capital market remained loose. DR001 dropped 0.07bp to 1.274%, and DR007 dropped 2.51bp to 1.444% [10]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - Interest - Rate Bonds - Yield Trends of Spot Bonds: On December 15, the bond market continued to adjust, with greater fluctuations in ultra - long bonds. The yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active issue 250016 rose 1.65bp to 1.8590%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active issue 250215 rose 2.25bp to 1.9390% [13]. - Bond Tendering: Information on the tendering of three agricultural development bonds, including the term, issuance scale, winning yield, and other indicators, was provided [15]. - Credit Bonds - Secondary - Market Transaction Anomalies: On December 15, the transaction prices of 4 industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%, including significant declines in "11 Willie MTN1", "21 Vanke 02", and "21 Vanke 04", and a significant increase in "H0 Zhongnan 02" [15]. - Credit Bond Events: Multiple companies, such as R&F Properties, Fantasia, and Times China Holdings, announced bond - related events, including resumption of trading, debt restructuring, and cancellation of bond issuance [16][18]. - Convertible Bonds - Equity and Convertible Bond Indices: On December 15, the three major A - share indices fell, and the main convertible bond indices also declined. The convertible bond market turnover was 59.394 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.972 billion yuan from the previous trading day. Most convertible bond issues fell [18][19]. - Convertible Bond Tracking: Information on convertible bond issuance approvals, potential price adjustments, and non - early redemptions was announced [24]. - Overseas Bond Markets - US Bond Market: On December 15, yields of US Treasury bonds across various maturities generally declined. The 2/10 - year yield spread remained unchanged at 67bp, and the 5/30 - year yield spread widened by 1bp to 111bp. The 10 - year inflation - protected Treasury bond (TIPS) break - even inflation rate dropped 1bp to 2.25% [22][24][26]. - European Bond Market: On December 15, the yield of Italy's 10 - year government bond remained unchanged, while yields of 10 - year government bonds in other major European economies generally declined [27]. - Price Changes of Chinese - Issued US - Dollar Bonds: The daily price changes of Chinese - issued US - dollar bonds as of the close on December 15 were presented, including the top 10 gainers and losers [29].