Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The demand from the terminal (energy storage + new energy vehicles) remains strong during the peak season, with the material production schedule basically flat and the flow of social inventory from upstream to downstream to the terminal being smooth. On the supply side, the production schedule in December has a slight increase, but the tight spot supply of spodumene restricts a significant resumption of production on the supply side. Overall, demand provides medium - term support for the lithium carbonate price, but there is significant pressure around the key level of 100,000 yuan [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 95,850 yuan with a daily increase of 2,500 yuan; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 93,350 yuan with a daily increase of 2,000 yuan [1] Lithium Futures Contracts - The closing prices and price increases of lithium carbonate futures contracts 2601 - 2605 range from 98,740 yuan to 100,600 yuan, with price increases between 0.78% and 1.35% [1] Lithium Ore - The average price of spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 1,248 yuan with a daily increase of 25 yuan; lithium mica prices vary according to different Li₂O contents, and the prices of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone also vary by Li₂O content [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average prices of cathode materials such as lithium iron phosphate (power type), ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type), ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type), and ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) are 39,845 yuan, 162,800 yuan, 146,000 yuan, and 145,700 yuan respectively, with corresponding price increases [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,500 yuan; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 4,750 yuan with a change of 1,160 yuan; and there are also price spreads between near - month and consecutive contracts [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 111,469 tons with a decrease of 2,133 tons, including 19,161 tons in smelters (a decrease of 1,606 tons), 42,738 tons in downstream (a decrease of 957 tons), and 49,570 tons in other (an increase of 430 tons); the daily registered warehouse receipts are 15,286 tons with a change of 26 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing spodumene concentrate externally is 99,567 yuan with a profit of - 5,047 yuan; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is 96,908 yuan with a profit of - 4,739 yuan [3] Industry News - The national new - energy storage installed capacity exceeds 100 million kilowatts, 30 times that at the end of the "13th Five - Year Plan" and accounting for over 40% of the global total installed capacity. During the peak summer period this year, the peak call of new - energy storage exceeded 30 million kilowatts [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20251217
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-12-17 05:53