高盛：2026年美国工业与材料行业展望

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the industrial and materials sector, with specific companies like Parker and Cognex receiving upgraded ratings to "Buy" [2]. Core Insights - The industrial sector is expected to benefit from easing monetary policy and declining inflation, creating a favorable environment for growth [2]. - Data center capital expenditures are projected to grow by 36% in 2026, benefiting companies like Flex and Jabil, which have high profit margins and free cash flow [1][6]. - The aerospace sector is anticipated to see improved production and delivery rates from Boeing and Airbus, driving supply chain growth [1][4]. - The defense sector shows promise with companies like HII and LHX, which are expected to benefit from government support and specific business segments [1][4]. - The airline industry is projected to experience a slight decrease in unit revenue, but companies like Delta and United Airlines remain attractive investment options [1][7]. - The waste management industry is expected to see organic growth in the mid-single digits, with pricing adjustments offsetting declines in recycling prices [1][15]. Summary by Sections Data Centers and Technology - Data center capital expenditures are expected to grow significantly, with a 36% increase projected for 2026, benefiting companies like Flex and Jabil [1][6]. - AI data centers are highlighted as a key theme, with companies like G Vernova planning significant investments [2]. Aerospace and Defense - The aerospace sector is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with Boeing and Airbus improving production and delivery rates [1][4]. - HII and LHX are identified as key players in the defense sector, benefiting from government support and specific business opportunities [1][4]. Airlines - The airline industry is projected to see unit revenue slightly below 3%, with Delta and United Airlines identified as strong investment candidates [1][7][8]. Waste Management - The waste management sector is expected to see organic growth in the mid-single digits, with pricing adjustments helping to mitigate challenges [1][15]. Construction and Infrastructure - The construction sector is facing challenges, but private non-residential building is expected to recover due to strong investments in data centers and healthcare [2][13]. - Companies like Acom and Jacobs are noted for their structural profit margin expansion, making them attractive investment opportunities [14].