海通证券晨报-20251218

Macro Research - The US job market is showing signs of gradual slowdown, with November non-farm employment increasing by 64,000, slightly above the expected 50,000, but the October figures were significantly revised down by 105,000 due to a one-time impact from the end of employment related to Trump's delayed resignation plan [2][9] - The unemployment rate rose by 0.2 percentage points to 4.6%, slightly above the expected 4.5%, primarily influenced by an increase in labor force participation, while the U6 unemployment rate increased significantly from 8.0% to 8.7%, indicating growing pressure on marginal labor and part-time workers [3][10] Home Appliance Research - Anfu Technology has strategically invested in Suzhou Yilong Micro, becoming a leading investor, which is part of its efforts to build a second growth curve [2][4] - The investment in the optical chip sector allows Anfu to share in Yilong Micro's high growth potential and develop a dual layout of "electric + optical," showcasing its forward-looking industrial layout and strong resource integration capabilities [6][26] Company Tracking Report: Anfu Technology - Anfu Technology's acquisition of Yilong Micro is progressing steadily, focusing on increasing its core business in power banks while investing in high-potential hard technology sectors [4][23] - The expected EPS for Anfu Technology from 2025 to 2027 is projected to be 1.03, 1.72, and 1.91 yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 58.6%, 66.2%, and 10.9% respectively [4][23] - The target price for Anfu Technology is set at 51.60 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating based on a 30x PE for 2026 [4][23] Company Overview: Yilong Micro - Yilong Micro focuses on the research, design, and production of photonic integrated chips for data center optical communication, established in Suzhou in 2021 with a core team of high-level national talents and returnee PhDs [6][25] - The company has developed a proprietary technology platform for silicon photonic heterogeneous integration and has been recognized as a "future star" in China's science and technology innovation [6][25] Investment Outlook - The investment in Yilong Micro is expected to enhance Anfu Technology's growth trajectory and open up new valuation ceilings, leveraging the complementary industrial resources from Anfu and its shareholders [6][26] - The overall strategy reflects a commitment to advancing from technology research and development to large-scale production and market application [6][26]