“十五五”产业趋势篇：科技、国内大循环、战略安全

Group 1: Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" achievements are the foundation for the "15th Five-Year Plan," which aims to connect to the 2035 vision, focusing on technological innovation as the core driver for activating the domestic market and ensuring strategic security for high-quality development [3] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes self-reliance in technology, enhancing original innovation, and laying out future industries to create new engines for development [6][35] - The plan aims to establish a unified national market and boost consumption to activate internal dynamics, providing a solid foundation for economic growth [7] Group 2: Technological Innovation - High-tech manufacturing shows resilience, with the share of the "three new economies" (new industries, new business formats, new models) in GDP steadily increasing, making technology a core engine for economic growth [15] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" suggests accelerating the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, aerospace, and low-altitude economy [6][35] - The transition from traditional to new energy vehicles indicates that the latter has moved past its explosive growth phase, while industries like robotics are on the verge of significant penetration [24][29] Group 3: Domestic Circulation - A strong domestic market is crucial for China's modernization, with the "15th Five-Year Plan" focusing on enhancing the internal dynamics and reliability of domestic circulation [7][55] - The plan proposes a unified national market as a key strategy to strengthen the domestic market, addressing competition issues and restoring industry profits to normal levels [55] - The focus on quality upgrades in key industries aims to consolidate and enhance the competitiveness of sectors like mining, metallurgy, and textiles in the global division of labor [55] Group 4: Strategic Security - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes building security barriers in three areas: industrial security, national defense security, and trade security, enhancing the national security system and capabilities [8] - Key areas of focus include original innovation, core technology breakthroughs, and improving the self-control level of industrial chains [8] - The plan also highlights the importance of expanding institutional openness and maintaining a multilateral trade system to address uncertainties in the global trade environment [8]