东海证券晨会纪要-20251218

Group 1: Key Recommendations - Focus on the commercialization progress of embodied intelligent robots, anticipating the establishment of industry standards and ecosystem co-construction [5] - Yushu Technology recently launched a humanoid robot "App Store," facilitating model training and sharing, which is expected to lay the foundation for product ecosystem development [5] - UBTECH has signed a humanoid robot sales contract worth over 50 million yuan, primarily involving the Walker S2 robot, which will be delivered within the year [6] - ZhiYuan Robotics has achieved mass production of its 5000th general-purpose embodied robot, indicating a significant scale-up in production capabilities [6][7] Group 2: Industry Tracking - The establishment of industry standards and evaluation systems is accelerating, which is expected to guide the orderly development of the industry [7] - The "Humanoid Robot Intelligence Grading" standard has been developed, categorizing humanoid robots into five levels (L1-L5), aiding companies in clarifying technological development directions [7][8] - The Beijing Humanoid Robot Innovation Center is building a public service platform for embodied intelligent robots, providing comprehensive services from technology development to industrial application [8] Group 3: U.S. Employment Market Observations - The U.S. non-farm employment data for November 2025 showed an increase of 64,000 jobs, slightly above expectations, but the unemployment rate rose from 4.4% to 4.6%, the highest since October 2021 [11][12] - The increase in the unemployment rate is primarily attributed to a surge in re-employment, with 293,000 re-employed individuals in October and November, contributing significantly to the unemployment figures [12][16] - The labor market is exhibiting signs of "tight balance" vulnerability, with an increase in both immigrant and domestic labor supply, while demand remains weak [12][16] Group 4: Financial News - From January to November 2025, the national general public budget revenue was 200,516 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, with tax revenue growing by 1.8% [19] - The general public budget expenditure for the same period was 248,538 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [19]