东吴证券晨会纪要-20251219

Macro Strategy - The report highlights that export control measures on key metals have become a crucial advantage for China in the context of major power competition, particularly against the US and EU [10][11] - China's leading position in key metals is attributed not only to resource advantages but also to a complete industrial system that is difficult for developed economies to replicate [10][11] Fixed Income - The report indicates that the bond market is expected to face challenges in 2026, with less likelihood of a unilateral decline in interest rates as seen from 2022 to 2024, suggesting a need for a more flexible approach to bond trading [12][13] - Recent meetings have emphasized a continuation of proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies, which are expected to influence bond market sentiment positively [12][13] Industry Analysis - The report discusses the merger of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda, which is expected to create a company with total assets exceeding one trillion yuan, ranking fourth in the industry [21][23] - The merger is seen as a strategic move to enhance scale and comprehensive strength in the securities industry, with large brokers expected to fill gaps through acquisitions while smaller brokers may achieve rapid growth through external mergers [21][23] Recommended Stocks - The report recommends investing in StarRing Technology, which is positioned as a leader in AI and big data infrastructure, with expected revenues of 426 million, 488 million, and 583 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [23][24] - The company is noted for its innovative GPU-Native database, which is anticipated to benefit significantly from the growing demand for AI inference [23][24]