EBSCN·2025-12-19 04:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group (1810.HK) [5][7]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's AI strategy is characterized as a long-distance race rather than a sprint, with significant investments planned for the next five years, exceeding 200 billion RMB [5]. - The newly released Mimo-V2-Flash model demonstrates industry-leading performance with a lightweight design featuring 309 billion total parameters and 15 billion activation parameters, outperforming competitors in key metrics [2]. - Xiaomi has established the largest consumer hardware platform globally, with 1.8 billion connected devices, including 740 million active mobile users and over 1 billion IoT devices, which provides a robust foundation for AI technology deployment [3]. Summary by Sections AI Model Development - The Mimo-V2-Flash model achieves a 2.0 to 2.6 times increase in inference speed and has a throughput of 5000-15000 tokens per second, significantly enhancing efficiency and cost-effectiveness for large-scale AI applications [2]. - The model is fully open-sourced, with APIs and web experiences available, aiming to attract global developers and create a positive feedback loop for model iteration [2]. Hardware Ecosystem - Xiaomi's hardware ecosystem includes 1.8 billion connected devices, with a focus on personal, automotive, and home devices, which enhances the potential for AI technology applications [3]. Software Infrastructure - The upcoming release of the Pengpai OS 3 in August 2025 will enhance ecosystem collaboration, supporting over 60 applications and 70 scenarios, with a daily active user base of 410 million [4]. - The Vela lightweight system and MINT platform are designed to facilitate AI deployment across various devices, with over 100 open-source partners contributing to the ecosystem [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Xiaomi indicate a growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 270.97 billion RMB in 2023, increasing to 635.31 billion RMB by 2027, and Non-IFRS net profits projected to rise from 19.27 billion RMB in 2023 to 50.97 billion RMB in 2027 [6][26]. - The report anticipates a significant increase in Non-IFRS earnings per share, from 0.77 RMB in 2023 to 1.96 RMB in 2027, reflecting strong profitability growth [6][26].