Huachuang Securities·2025-12-20 11:36Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Sichuan Chengyu (601107) [1] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 85% of Hubei Jingyi Expressway Co., Ltd. for a total cash consideration of 2.409 billion yuan, avoiding equity dilution and ensuring stable earnings growth [6] - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's profitability and dividend capacity, with projected net profits from the acquired asset reaching 2.4 billion yuan in 2026, 2.5 billion yuan in 2027, and 2.7 billion yuan in 2028 [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strategy of integrating high-quality road assets to strengthen its core business and enhance shareholder returns [6] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 10,362 million yuan, 9,946 million yuan, 10,246 million yuan, and 10,717 million yuan respectively, with a year-on-year growth rate of -11.1%, -4.0%, 3.0%, and 4.6% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1,459 million yuan in 2024, 1,630 million yuan in 2025, 1,728 million yuan in 2026, and 1,867 million yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 22.9%, 11.7%, 6.0%, and 8.1% respectively [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.48 yuan in 2024, 0.53 yuan in 2025, 0.56 yuan in 2026, and 0.61 yuan in 2027 [2] Valuation Metrics - The target price is set at 7.70 yuan for A-shares and 6.81 HKD for H-shares, indicating a potential upside of 24% and 27% from the current prices respectively [3] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 13 in 2025 to 10 in 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to remain stable at around 0.9 [2][3]