Soochow Securities·2025-12-21 08:34Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector [1]. Core Views - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a significant increase in the sales proportion of savings products. The report anticipates improvements in both the liability and investment sides of the insurance business [46]. - The securities sector is undergoing transformation, which is expected to bring new business growth points, benefiting from a recovering market and favorable policy environment [46]. - The non-bank financial sector is currently undervalued, providing a safety margin and a balanced risk-reward profile [46]. Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Subsector Recent Performance - From December 15 to December 19, 2025, all non-bank financial sub-sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index, with the insurance sector rising by 7.04%, multi-financial sector by 2.04%, and securities sector by 1.06%, while the overall non-bank financial sector increased by 2.99% [11][12]. Securities Sector - Trading volume decreased month-on-month in December 2025, with the average daily trading amount for stock funds at 21,087 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.09% but a month-on-month decrease of 5.91% [16]. - The margin balance reached 24,994 billion yuan, up 32.93% year-on-year and 34.04% since the beginning of the year [16]. - The report highlights the merger of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda, which will result in a combined asset scale exceeding one trillion yuan, ranking fourth in the industry [20]. Insurance Sector - The report discusses the public consultation on new asset-liability management regulations, which aim to strengthen regulatory requirements and optimize long-term stock risk factor requirements [24]. - The insurance sector's valuation is currently between 0.67 and 1.01 times the 2025E P/EV, indicating it is at a historical low, thus maintaining an "Overweight" rating [32]. Multi-Financial Sector - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 32.43 trillion yuan by June 2025, a year-on-year growth of 20.11% [32]. - The futures market experienced a significant increase in trading volume and value, with November 2025 figures showing a year-on-year increase of 13.54% in volume and 7.11% in value [39]. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the sectors as follows: insurance > securities > other multi-financial sectors, recommending companies such as China Life, Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CICC, and Tonghuashun [46].