本期企稳回升,反弹已在路上
Guotou Securities·2025-12-21 08:33
  • The report mentions a trend factor indicator, which has re-entered a strong state, indicating that the market's medium-term direction remains in an upward trend. This factor is used in conjunction with a cycle analysis model to assess market trends and predict potential rebounds[6] - The cycle analysis model is highlighted as a tool to analyze the medium-term market direction. It suggests that the market's short-term adjustment is likely complete, and a gradual recovery is expected[6][7] - The industry rotation model is used to identify sector opportunities. It suggests focusing on sectors such as artificial intelligence, non-ferrous metals, and pharmaceuticals. This model provides signals for sector allocation based on historical and current market dynamics[6][14] - The historical similarity analysis compares the current market trend with December 2017, particularly in terms of adjustment time and magnitude. This analysis supports the view that the market is nearing the end of its adjustment phase and is poised for recovery[6][12] - The four-wheel drive model is used to identify trading opportunities across various indices and sectors, such as the CSI Artificial Intelligence Index, CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index, and others. It provides specific ETF benchmarks for each identified opportunity[14]