C-REITs周报:二级持续走弱,仓储物流REIT寒意未消-20251221
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-12-21 08:47

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the C-REITs sector [6] Core Insights - The C-REITs secondary market continues to show weakness, with the overall market experiencing a decline. The report highlights the ongoing challenges in the warehousing and logistics REIT segment [1][11] - The report suggests that the low interest rate environment in 2025 presents an opportunity for REIT market allocation, emphasizing three main investment strategies: focusing on policy themes, recognizing the value of weak-cycle assets, and monitoring the expansion of REITs alongside new issuances [3][11] Summary by Sections REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index fell by 2.85% this week, closing at 999.2 points. The CSI REITs closing index decreased by 3.06%, ending at 773.2 points. Other indices such as the CSI 300 and Hang Seng also experienced declines [1][9] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has increased by 3.24%, while the closing index has decreased by 2.08% [2][9] C-REITs Secondary Market Performance - The secondary market for C-REITs has continued its downward trend, with a total market capitalization of approximately 212.36 billion yuan and an average market cap of about 2.7 billion yuan per REIT. Out of the listed REITs, only 2 saw an increase, while 76 experienced declines, averaging a weekly drop of 2.6% [2][11] - The performance of various REIT sectors this week includes declines in warehousing logistics (-1.62%), industrial parks (-1.92%), and transportation infrastructure (-4.65%) [11] REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows significant differentiation, with the top three being Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe REIT (10.9%), Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT (10.2%), and E Fund Guangkai Industrial Park REIT (9.2%) [3] - The price-to-net asset value (P/NAV) ratio for REITs ranges from 0.7 to 1.7, with the highest being Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT at 1.7 and the lowest being Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT at 0.7 [3]