11月狭义基建投资环比改善,2026年财政、投资定调积极
Guotou Securities·2025-12-21 09:34

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market - A" [6] Core Insights - The report indicates that infrastructure investment in November showed a month-on-month improvement, with a positive fiscal and investment outlook for 2026 [3][17] - The report emphasizes the importance of expanding effective investment as a key task for building a strong domestic market and accelerating the construction of a new development pattern [2][18] - The construction industry is expected to see marginal improvements driven by policy and fundamental improvements, particularly in the context of new and old kinetic energy conversion in investment [3][19] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - From January to November, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 44.40 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%. Excluding real estate development investment, project investment grew by 0.8%. In November, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) fell by 1.03%. The narrow and broad infrastructure investment completion amounts from January to November showed year-on-year increases of 1.10% and 0.13%, respectively, with a month-on-month improvement in November [17][30] - In the three major infrastructure subcategories, investment in electricity, heat, gas, and water maintained double-digit growth, with a year-on-year increase of 10.70%. Investment in transportation, warehousing, and postal services slightly decreased by 0.10%, while investment in water conservancy, environment, and public facilities management fell by 6.30% [17][30] Market Performance - The construction industry experienced a slight decline of 0.10%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, but the international engineering sector performed well with a 5.99% increase [20][21] - The report highlights that 57.93% of companies in the construction sector recorded gains, with notable performers including *ST Kexin and Zhongtian Precision [21][22] Key Investment Targets - Recommended stocks include low-valuation central enterprises in infrastructure such as China State Construction and China Communications Construction, which are expected to benefit from improved operational quality and increased dividends [12][13] - The report also suggests focusing on companies in the cleanroom engineering sector, such as Yaxiang Integration and Shenghui Integration, which are expected to benefit from the growing demand in the semiconductor and cloud service industries [12][13]