通信行业:太空新基建竞赛推动产业加速,空心光纤产业迭代演进关键窗口期
HUAXI Securities·2025-12-21 13:22

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The space new infrastructure competition is accelerating the industry, with the U.S. government taking measures to ensure its "space advantage" through increased R&D and private sector investment [1][10] - The hollow fiber industry is at a critical window for iteration and evolution, with potential demand driven by AI applications [3][11] - The current geopolitical climate and technology competition between the U.S. and China are expected to keep the market volatile, suggesting a cautious and neutral allocation strategy [6][13] Summary by Sections Space New Infrastructure - The U.S. aims to attract at least $50 billion in private investment in the space sector by 2028, with plans for lunar exploration and nuclear energy applications in space [1][10] - The rapid launch of domestic satellite constellations and the commercialization of satellite IoT applications are expected to expand market size significantly [1][10] - Beneficiaries in the satellite communication and IoT sectors include companies like Chengchang Technology, Guobo Electronics, and Zhenlei Technology [1][10] Hollow Fiber Demand - Hollow fiber technology offers advantages such as low latency, wide spectrum, low loss, and low nonlinearity, making it a disruptive solution for traditional fiber optics [3][11] - The technology is still in the early stages of commercialization, but its characteristics are expected to meet the growing demand for AI model connectivity [3][11] - Key beneficiaries in the hollow fiber sector include Changfei Fiber, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Fenghuo Communication [3][12] Current Market Perspective - The market is anticipated to remain volatile due to global geopolitical conflicts and skepticism regarding AI investments, with a recommendation for a cautious and neutral approach [6][13] - Long-term prospects remain positive for domestic AI computing power, optical modules, and the 6G industry trend, which are expected to catalyze market opportunities [6][13] - Recommended sectors include computing and communication infrastructure, optical network upgrades, and edge computing [13][14]