量子信息技术专题研究(二):科技巨头加速布局,量子产业前景可期
Guoyuan Securities·2025-12-21 14:12

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the quantum technology industry [6] Core Insights - Quantum computing is expected to advance faster than market expectations, becoming a core component of future computing systems alongside classical and AI computing [1][12] - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics was awarded for groundbreaking work in quantum tunneling and energy level quantization, indicating rapid iterations in quantum technology [2] - Major international companies are enhancing their engineering capabilities and commercializing quantum technologies, making significant strides in quantum hardware and software [3] - Domestic companies are accelerating their development around self-controllable technologies and practical applications in quantum measurement and computing [4] Summary by Sections 1. Quantum Technology Development - Quantum technology is transitioning from basic research to engineering and industrialization, with significant advancements in core device manufacturing and algorithm development [23] - The industry is expected to become a crucial support for future information technology transformations and enhance national technological competitiveness [23] 1.1 Quantum Communication - The global quantum communication market is projected to grow from $1.1 billion in 2025 to $10.5 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 28.3% [30] - In China, the quantum communication market is expected to reach $1 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 52.3% from 2025 to 2030 [34] 1.2 Quantum Computing - The global quantum computing market is anticipated to grow from $5.04 billion in 2024 to $807.75 billion by 2035, indicating a CAGR of 87.64% [44][45] - In China, the quantum computing market is projected to increase from $118.5 million in 2024 to $410 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 23.5% [51] 1.3 Quantum Precision Measurement - The global quantum precision measurement market is expected to expand from $1.674 billion in 2024 to $4.497 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 9.40% [59] - In China, the quantum measurement industry is projected to grow to $2.14 billion in 2024, with a growth rate exceeding 30% [62]