“开门红”信贷投放有望保持稳健

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Overweight" [6][8][35] Core Insights - The "New Year Opening" strategy of small and medium-sized banks is characterized by high interest rates on deposits, which is expected to support steady credit issuance [6][30] - Large banks are experiencing a significant increase in deposit growth, attributed to regulatory changes and their strong wealth management capabilities, which allow them to attract deposits effectively [6][31] - The competitive landscape indicates that small and medium-sized banks must leverage their local advantages and focus on serving small and micro enterprises to differentiate themselves from larger banks [7][33] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Deposits are shifting from small and medium-sized banks to large banks, with large banks showing a notable increase in deposit growth since the first quarter of this year [6][31] - The increase in deposit rates by small and medium-sized banks aims to attract savings and counteract structural changes in the deposit market [30][31] Future Outlook - Large banks are expected to continue expanding their market share in the small and micro finance sector, supported by government policies aimed at reducing costs and improving efficiency [7][33] - The "New Year Opening" period is anticipated to see steady growth in credit issuance from large banks, bolstered by favorable fiscal policies [8][35] Investment Recommendations - It is advised to focus on state-owned banks with stable asset deployment and regional banks with growth potential under economic recovery expectations, including recommendations for specific banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, and others [8][35]