本周热点前瞻2025-12-22

Report Summary Core Viewpoints - The report provides a weekly hotspots preview, including important economic data releases and policy events, and analyzes their potential impacts on the futures market [2][3]. Key Events and Forecasts December 22 - China's central bank will announce the December 2025 Loan Prime Rate (LPR). The expected 1 - year LPR is 3.00% and the 5 - year - plus LPR is 3.50%, both unchanged from the previous values [3]. December 23 - The US Department of Commerce will release the initial value of Q3 2025 GDP. The expected real GDP annualized quarterly rate is 3.2%, compared to 3.8% in Q2. A slightly lower Q3 rate may mildly boost precious metal futures prices but suppress non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related commodity futures prices [4]. - The US Department of Commerce will release the initial value of November durable goods orders. The expected month - on - month rate is - 1.4%, lower than the previous value of 0.5%. A lower value may suppress non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related commodity futures prices but mildly boost precious metal futures prices [5]. - The Fed will release November industrial output. The expected month - on - month rate is 0.1%, the same as the previous value [7]. - The US Conference Board will release the December consumer confidence index. The expected value is 91.7, higher than the previous value of 88.7. A higher value may suppress precious metal futures prices but boost non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related commodity futures prices [8]. December 24 - The National Bureau of Statistics will announce the mid - December market prices of important production materials in the circulation field, covering 9 categories and 50 products [9]. - The US Department of Labor will release the initial jobless claims for the week ending December 20. The expected number is 215,000, lower than the previous value of 224,000. A slightly lower number may mildly boost non - precious industrial product futures prices but suppress precious metal futures prices [10]. - The US EIA will release the change in EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending December 19. The expected decline is 1.5 million barrels, more than the previous decline of 1.274 million barrels. A continued decline may boost crude oil and related commodity futures prices [11]. December 25 - There will be 300 billion yuan of MLF maturing. The central bank is expected to conduct an increased - volume roll - over of MLF at 09:25 [12]. December 27 - The National Bureau of Statistics will release the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size from January to November and for November alone. From January to October, the profits decreased by 5.5% year - on - year, while in October, they increased by 1.9% year - on - year [13].