Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [6] Core Insights - The company is a leader in micro drive systems, with a customized business model that creates brand value barriers. From 2017 to 2024, revenue grew from 550 million to 1.53 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.7%, and net profit increased from 49 million to 225 million yuan, with a CAGR of 24.3% [1][5] - The humanoid robot market is expected to see significant growth, with demand projected to reach 1.772 million units by 2030, creating a market space of 56.8 billion yuan for dexterous hands, of which the hollow cup motors and gear sets will account for about half, corresponding to a market space of 28.4 billion yuan [2][50] - The XR (Extended Reality) sector is anticipated to become a next-generation consumer electronics phenomenon, with shipments of XR headsets expected to reach 124 million units by 2028. The company's micro drive systems are core components in XR headsets, positioning it to benefit from this growth [3][25] - In the automotive electronics sector, the company has established long-term partnerships with major clients like Bosch and BYD, with revenue in this area growing from 192 million to 633 million yuan from 2019 to 2023, achieving a CAGR of 34.75% [4][33] Summary by Sections Micro Drive Systems - The company has been deeply engaged in micro drive systems for over 20 years, expanding its downstream market applications. It transitioned from producing precision injection parts to integrated products and customized solutions, now serving various industries including automotive electronics, communication devices, and robotics [15][20] - The micro drive systems are essential components in various industries, characterized by their miniaturization, high precision, and reliability, with a broad market demand [20][22] Humanoid Robots - The company focuses on dexterous hands, positioning itself in the core components like motors and gearboxes. It has launched self-developed dexterous hand products, aiming to provide comprehensive solutions in the humanoid robot market [2][39] - AI advancements are accelerating the humanoid robot industry, with significant opportunities for domestic manufacturers to participate in this growing field [39][42] XR (Extended Reality) - The XR industry is entering a rapid development phase, with major manufacturers entering the market. The company's micro drive systems are widely used in XR headsets, enhancing its growth potential in this sector [3][25] Automotive Electronics - The automotive electronics sector is undergoing a technological revolution, with increasing penetration rates and vehicle value. The company has capitalized on the growth of smart vehicles and established long-term relationships with key automotive clients [4][33] - Revenue from automotive electronics has significantly increased, with a notable 66% growth in 2022, and it now accounts for 52.5% of total revenue [4][33] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.899 billion, 2.409 billion, and 3.137 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 284 million, 404 million, and 529 million yuan respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 87, 61, and 46 for the respective years [5][9]
兆威机电（003021）：微型传动系统龙头，人形机器人、XR、汽车电子打开成长空间