Shenzhen Honor Electronic (SZ:300870) Shanghai Aijian Securities·2025-12-22 08:31Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its stock performance [5]. Core Insights - The company is well-positioned in the power supply sector, particularly benefiting from the demand for high-power server power supplies driven by the AIDC wave. The expected growth in net profit for 2025-2027 is projected at 326 million, 464 million, and 804 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 69.4, 48.8, and 28.1 [5]. - The company has established itself as a leading supplier of high-power server power supplies in China, with products that meet international high-end standards. It is one of the few suppliers capable of large-scale sales of high-power server power supplies, which positions it to capitalize on opportunities in AI and domestic substitution [5][32]. - The report highlights the company's strategic partnerships with major domestic server manufacturers and its ongoing collaboration with leading internet companies, which enhances its market presence [5]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2,870 million CNY in 2023, 3,798 million CNY in 2024, 4,817 million CNY in 2025, 6,082 million CNY in 2026, and 7,448 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.2%, 32.3%, 26.8%, 26.3%, and 22.5% respectively [4]. - The net profit forecast shows significant growth, with expected figures of 196 million CNY in 2023, 268 million CNY in 2024, 326 million CNY in 2025, 464 million CNY in 2026, and 804 million CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 117.1%, 36.9%, 21.7%, 42.4%, and 73.2% respectively [4][36]. - The company's gross margin is projected to improve, with estimates of 19.7% in 2023, 21.4% in 2024, 21.3% in 2025, 24.0% in 2026, and 26.6% in 2027 [36]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company ranks as the 12th largest power supply manufacturer globally in 2024, with sales of approximately 521 million USD, indicating a strong competitive position in the market [17]. - The report emphasizes the company's ability to meet the growing demand for high-power server power supplies, particularly in the context of the expanding global server market, which is expected to reach a scale of 282.35 billion CNY in China by 2025 [5][30]. - The company is strategically positioned to leverage its global production capabilities in Vietnam and Mexico to meet North American customer demands, enhancing its competitive edge [5].