华创交运|红利资产月报(2025年12月):年末观察:高股息与资本运作双引擎-20251222
Huachuang Securities·2025-12-22 10:16

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry, emphasizing high dividends and capital operations as dual engines for growth [1]. Core Insights - The transportation sector has shown mixed performance, with the overall industry ranking 8th among 31 sectors in terms of growth, having increased by 1.68% from December 1 to December 19, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.76 percentage points [12][13]. - The report highlights that the dividend yield for major segments within the transportation sector, including highways, railways, and ports, remains in the 3%-4% range, with coal and banking sectors leading in yield [27][21]. - The report identifies several high-dividend stocks in the A and H-share markets, recommending companies such as Sichuan Chengyu Expressway (6.0% yield) and China Merchants Port (5.8% yield) as attractive investment opportunities [21][22]. Monthly Market Performance - The report notes that the performance of dividend assets in December 2025 was generally underwhelming, with highway, railway, and port segments showing cumulative changes of -1.45%, +1.12%, and +1.21%, respectively [13][11]. - The average daily transaction volume for ports increased by 26.7% year-on-year, while highway and railway transaction volumes decreased by 5.5% and 34.8%, respectively [26][23]. - The report indicates that the low interest rate environment continues to support the market, with the 10-year government bond yield remaining stable around 1.83% [25][23]. Capital Operations - Sichuan Chengyu plans to acquire 85% of Hubei Jingyi Expressway for 2.409 billion yuan in cash, shifting from a stock issuance to a cash purchase to avoid equity dilution [32]. - Ninghu Expressway is increasing its investment in the Jiangsu Longtan Bridge project by 3.26964 billion yuan, enhancing its stake in the project [34]. - Qingdao Port has terminated its cash acquisition of the Rizhao Port oil terminal due to potential business impacts from legal issues, prioritizing shareholder interests [35]. Highway Sector Tracking - In October 2025, highway passenger traffic was reported at 975 million, a decrease of 3.7% year-on-year, while freight traffic showed a slight increase of 0.1% [36]. - The report highlights the revenue performance of key companies, such as Gansu Expressway, which reported a slight decline in toll revenue for November 2025 [44]. Railway Sector Tracking - Railway passenger volume reached 410 million in October 2025, marking a 10.1% increase year-on-year, while freight volume showed a modest increase of 0.6% [52]. - The report notes that the Daqin Railway achieved a freight volume of 37.22 million tons in November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.75% [59]. Port Sector Tracking - The report indicates that monitored port cargo throughput reached 1.078 billion tons over four weeks, with a year-on-year growth of 2.6% [63]. - Container throughput for the year-to-date reached 31.0469 million TEUs, reflecting a 7.7% increase compared to the previous year [63].

华创交运|红利资产月报(2025年12月):年末观察:高股息与资本运作双引擎-20251222 - Reportify