关注白银期权末日轮与钯相对补涨机会：商品期权策略

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2026, the precious metals market's "bull market is not over." The long - term support for gold comes from the contraction of the US dollar's credit and central bank gold purchases and Fed rate cuts. Silver will show greater elasticity due to the global fiscal resonance - driven recovery. The market will likely feature a stable gold center and expanding silver elasticity. Investors should focus on three time windows and beware of policy disturbances [4] - Consider buying out - of - the - money call options of silver option contract 01 to trade the "end - of - contract" market, and continue to pay attention to silver call option building opportunities during the index adjustment period [1][2] - Given the strong fundamental and relatively larger upside potential for palladium, consider buying out - of - the - money call options of palladium contract 06 instead of holding futures [7] Group 3: Summary by Related Content Silver Options - Silver option 01 contract at - the - money option implied volatility is around 38%, and contract 02 is around 46%. Due to profit - taking and approaching expiration, implied volatility is low in the near - term and high in the far - term. One can buy out - of - the - money call options of contract 01 for the "end - of - contract" market [1] - The European silver lease rate is about 2%, but the 1 - 3 - month rate has risen to around 7%. Around January 8 - 15, there will be about $5 billion in gold and nearly $4 billion in silver sales due to index weight adjustments. This situation corresponds to the low - near - high - far implied volatility of silver options [2] Precious Metals Market in 2026 - The precious metals market in 2026 is expected to have a stable gold center and expanding silver elasticity. Investors should focus on three time windows and beware of policy disturbances [4] Platinum and Palladium Options - The liquidity of platinum and palladium far - month option contracts is insufficient. The market focuses on three out - of - the - money call option contracts. Palladium's implied volatility is higher than platinum's, corresponding to its greater upside potential. After the limit - up on December 12, the implied volatility of their option contracts increased slightly. One can consider buying out - of - the - money call options of palladium contract 06 instead of futures [7]