每日投资策略-20251223

Global Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,802, up 0.43% for the day and 28.62% year-to-date [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,917, up 0.69% for the day and 16.87% year-to-date [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 2,493, up 1.13% for the day and 27.35% year-to-date [1] - The US Dow Jones closed at 48,363, up 0.47% for the day and 13.68% year-to-date [1] - The S&P 500 closed at 6,878, up 0.64% for the day and 16.95% year-to-date [1] Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, materials, consumer staples, and energy sectors led the gains, while healthcare, conglomerates, and telecommunications lagged [3] - The Hang Seng Financial Index closed at 48,788, up 0.52% for the day and 38.85% year-to-date [2] - The Hang Seng Industrial Index closed at 14,047, up 0.41% for the day and 24.87% year-to-date [2] - The Hang Seng Real Estate Index closed at 17,759, down 0.08% for the day and 19.08% year-to-date [2] Capital Flows - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 3.13 billion HKD, with notable net purchases in SMIC, Xiaomi, and Tencent [3] - Major net sell-offs were observed in China Mobile, Alibaba, and Pop Mart [3] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has kept the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) unchanged for seven consecutive months, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 20 basis points in Q1 and Q3 of next year [3] - The Ministry of Commerce announced temporary anti-subsidy measures on dairy products imported from the EU [3] International Market Insights - The US stock market saw gains in materials, financials, and industrials, while consumer staples, information technology, and utilities underperformed [3] - Nvidia made significant adjustments to its cloud business strategy, focusing on internal demand for chips rather than external sales [3] - Tesla reached a new historical high during trading [3] Interest Rates and Commodities - US Treasury yields rose, with weak demand observed in the two-year bond auction [3] - The dollar index retreated, while gold, silver, and copper reached historical highs [3] - Oil prices increased due to the US blocking Venezuelan oil exports [3]