Changjiang Securities·2025-12-23 04:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company is expected to pay a total consideration of 133.598 billion yuan for the asset acquisition, with a corresponding PE ratio of 14.17x for the non-deductible net profit attributable to the parent company in 2024. The payment structure includes approximately 93.519 billion yuan in cash (70%) and about 40.080 billion yuan in shares (30) [2][11]. - The asset injection is anticipated to strengthen the company's leading position in the coal industry, enhancing its scale and integrated advantages [2][11]. - The company’s coal reserves are projected to increase by 64.72% to 68.49 billion tons, while its recoverable coal reserves will rise by 97.71% to 34.5 billion tons. Additionally, coal production is expected to grow by 56.57% to 512 million tons, and installed power generation capacity will increase by 27.82% to 60.88 GW [11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Transaction Price & Valuation - The acquisition price is set at 133.598 billion yuan, with cash payments of 93.519 billion yuan and share payments of 40.080 billion yuan. The issuance price for A shares is 29.40 yuan per share, with approximately 1.363 billion shares issued, representing 6.42% of the total share capital [2][11]. - The net asset value of the acquired assets is approximately 94.995 billion yuan, resulting in a PB ratio of 1.41x, which is considered reasonable compared to the company's PB of 1.94x as of December 19 [2][11]. Performance Commitment - The performance commitment for most assets is set for three years (2026-2028), with extended commitments for certain assets until 2031. Expected contributions to net profit for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 29.58 billion yuan, 45.45 billion yuan, and 66.43 billion yuan, respectively [11]. Financial Analysis - The company is expected to maintain a strong cash flow, with a projected operating cash flow of 93.3 billion yuan in 2024, ensuring the ability to meet the cash payment obligations [11]. - The transaction is expected to enhance the earnings per share (EPS), with a projected increase from 1.47 yuan to 1.54 yuan for the first seven months of 2025, and from 2.97 yuan to 3.15 yuan for 2024 [11].