Huaxin Securities·2025-12-23 05:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][8] Core Insights - The company is optimizing its business structure, focusing on traditional railway equipment and new industries such as clean energy equipment, which aligns with the "dual carbon" strategy, becoming a significant growth driver [4] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 183.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.96 billion yuan, up 37.53% year-on-year [4] - The railway equipment segment saw revenue of 59.71 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, growing 42.21% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for high-speed trains and freight cars [4] - New industry revenue reached 40.73 billion yuan, a 35.59% increase year-on-year, with rapid expansion in clean energy equipment, including wind power and energy storage [4] - The company signed new orders worth approximately 146 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with about 30.9 billion yuan from overseas [5] - The company is increasing R&D investment to support core technology breakthroughs and product iterations, with total R&D expenditure reaching 10.82 billion yuan in the third quarter of 2025 [7] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 272.32 billion yuan, 289.53 billion yuan, and 306.48 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS projected at 0.49 yuan, 0.53 yuan, and 0.58 yuan [8][10] Summary by Sections Business Structure Optimization - The company is benefiting from the construction and maintenance market for railways, maintaining high growth rates [4] - The new industry focuses on clean energy equipment, which is becoming a crucial growth area [4] Global Expansion - The company is leveraging the "Belt and Road" initiative to enhance its overseas projects and localize operations, resulting in steady growth in international revenue [5] R&D and Technological Advancements - Continuous high investment in R&D supports core technology advancements, with a leading position in patent reserves and industry standards [6][7] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenue growth rates of 10.5% for 2025, 6.3% for 2026, and 5.9% for 2027, with net profit growth rates of 13.2%, 9.3%, and 8.8% respectively [10]