HANGZHOU ZHONGHENG(SZ:002364) Shanghai Aijian Securities·2025-12-23 07:47Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking it as a first-time coverage [2][6][15]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing penetration of HVDC technology and the expansion into overseas markets, leading to significant performance growth. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 146 million, 285 million, and 512 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 95.4, 48.7, and 27.2, which are below the average of comparable companies [6][15]. - The company is a leading player in the HVDC supply solutions market, focusing on data center power systems, power operation systems, communication power systems, and digital power solutions. It has established a strong market position through technological and service advantages [6][19]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,555 million yuan in 2023 to 5,335 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.7% [5][10]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit from 39 million yuan in 2023 to 512 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [5][10]. - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 26% in the coming years, with specific segments like data center power systems showing higher margins due to increased overseas sales [10][11]. Industry Demand and Growth Drivers - The AIDC investment is entering a high-growth cycle, with major cloud providers significantly increasing their capital expenditures, which is expected to drive demand for power supply systems [25][26]. - The market for data center power supply systems is projected to reach 239.7 billion yuan in 2024 and grow to 610.4 billion yuan by 2027, with a CAGR of 36.6% [25][26]. - The penetration of HVDC technology is expected to accelerate due to rising power density in data center cabinets, making HVDC a more attractive option compared to traditional UPS systems [27][33]. Competitive Advantages - The company holds a leading market share of 31% in the HVDC sector, benefiting from deep relationships with major clients and a strong focus on R&D, which has resulted in a high number of patents and industry standards [48][61]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by high concentration, with the top three players expected to hold 72% of the market share by 2025, indicating a favorable environment for the company to maintain its leadership position [48][50]. International Expansion - The company is actively expanding into international markets through joint ventures and local partnerships, such as the establishment of SuperX Digital in Singapore, which focuses on Southeast Asia and the Middle East [61]. - This strategy aims to leverage local market knowledge and enhance supply chain collaboration to meet the growing demand for data center solutions abroad [61].